See also
08.03.2023 02:32 PMThe EUR/USD pair crashed yesterday ahead and after Fed Chair Powell's Testimony. It has dropped by 1.59% from yesterday's high of 1.0694 to 1.0524 today's low. After such a big drop, the rate could try to rebound in the short term. Still, the downside pressure remains high, so the currency pair could extend its sell-off anytime.
Today, the fundamentals should play an important role again. Earlier, German Retail Sales dropped by 0.3% even if the specialists expected a 2.3% growth, while German Industrial Production came in better than expected. Furthermore, the Eurozone Employment Change rose by 0.3% less compared to the 0.4% growth expected, while the Revised GDP came in line with expectations.
Fundamentally, the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change is forecasted to increase from 106K in January to 197K in February. Moreover, the JOLTS Job Openings indicator may drop to 10.58M from 11.01M, while Fed Chair Powell Testifies could really shake the markets again. Don't forget that the BOC Rate Statement could bring some action as well.
As you can see on the H1 chart, the rate found resistance at 1.0691 and then it turned to the downside, ignoring the median line (ml), the pivot point of 1.0620, and the 1.0576 - 1.0565 support zone.
Now, it has taken out the lower median line (lml) and the S1 (1.0550) as well. In the short term, it could try to come back to test and retest the broken levels before extending its sell-off.
As long as it stays below the lower median line (lml) and under 1.0565 - 1.0576, EUR/USD could drop deeper. Testing and retesting these levels may announce a new sell-off. A new lower low, dropping and closing below 1.0524 validates a further drop towards 1.0481 and represents a new selling opportunity.
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