趨勢分析(圖1):
週一,市場可能從1.0833(週五的日收盤)開始繼續下行,朝向1.0811,即14.6%的回撤水平(藍色虛線)。如果達到此水平,則價格可能會開始向上走動,朝向1.0909,一個歷史阻力水平(淺藍色虛線)。
綜合分析:
整體結論:總體趨勢仍然看空。
替代情景:
如果價格繼續從1.0833(週五的日收盤價)下跌,可能會達到1.0763(23.6%的回撤水平,藍色虛線)。一旦達到此水平,可能會出現向上修正至1.0909(歷史阻力位,淺藍色虛線)。
週五,歐元/美元組合持續上漲,但在當日後半段有所回落。此次回落(即美元走強)是短暫的,到了週五尾聲,美元再度出現大幅下跌。
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